- Oct 12, 2009
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The most production (Hits, HR's, Doubles, Triples, RBI's, etc.) is done on the first pitch of the at bat. This says that the hitters are ready to hit and when they do put the ball in play on the first pitch... The pitcher pays.
Hitters hit over .300 in every count with less than two strikes. (even when it's 0-1 )
Hitters hit in the .100's with two strikes (except 3-2 they hit .218)
Fear of making an out on the first pitch simply because it's the first pitch is nonsense. Don't miss an opportunity to do damage on a pitch that you can drive just because it's the first one. Being a good hitter means that you make the pitcher pay for throwing a pitch in your zone (whether it's the first pitch or the ninth pitch)
If you have to take a strike to feel comfortable in the box... Good luck because you only get three.
If you're looking for a walk... Go find a park.
Just my take on it
I'd love to see a study that backs this idea up because it contradicts both what Ted Williams believed and every study I've ever seen.
Dan Agonistes: The Impact of Count
The best counts for hitters are 2-0 and 2-1. They've seen what pitcher has and they know they are probably going to get a strike.
P.S. Enquist is making a completely different point in the clip above.
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