- Jun 8, 2016
- 16,118
- 113
Models were off for sure but for the types of differentials equations used to model the virus spread, and the types of solutions which these produce ( e.g. logistic growth and what the models being used are based upon), being off only a little bit with the parameters of the model, which rely on empirical data, can cause an order of magnitude difference in the predictions.
Or, in English, it is not entirely surprising they were off by a bunch..
Or, in English, it is not entirely surprising they were off by a bunch..
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