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Apr 28, 2014
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Seems premature. Most haven't even been closed a week yet and are already canceling the rest of the year?

Do they not realize that 90% of us probably already have the virus since everything just closed this week and its incubation period can be like 2-3 weeks?
Hope you're right.
I had a cold 5-6 weeks ago that was so bad.. horrible actually. Doctor said not the flu..
Coughed for weeks.
 
May 27, 2013
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Just a side note - RSV has been hitting adults pretty hard this season, as well for some reason. Usually see it more in kids.
If you go the the CDC site and search for RSV you can see that it was hitting hard the past couple of months (confirmed via testing).
 
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May 27, 2013
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I just wonder what will happen if schools remain closed and they don’t have distance learning set up? Do those kids play catch-up next year? Do they attend summer classes? So many unanswered questions.
 
May 24, 2016
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Indeed there will be a future. And yes, there are plenty of people still trying to play now. I’m talking to the people who are looking for fields since their local parks have shut down, people who are encouraging the kids to “get together anyway”, and the ones who are still trying to find ways to hold practices (either with their school or with their travel team since schools are saying NO).

JUST STOP IT! (I need a cool logo ... anybody?)
No matter how much I love FastPitch Softball 🥎..you won’t find this Old Blue (73) on a Game or Scrimmage....my last HS game was a “Perfect” one..1st Batter POP Up to F6 and then 14 straight K’s (13 Swinging)...and my last College Game was a “No-Hitter” .... I miss it already..but I will be ready to go when this Pandemic is over...
 
May 29, 2015
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Seems premature. Most haven't even been closed a week yet and are already canceling the rest of the year?

Do they not realize that 90% of us probably already have the virus since everything just closed this week and its incubation period can be like 2-3 weeks?

Most schools get out at the end of May/first week of June (we are probably the latter due to the winter weather this year). That is just six to seven weeks away. It will probably take a few more weeks before we reach the peak of exposure levels, another few weeks for the symptoms to manifest, another few weeks for the virus to run its course in those people, and then a few more weeks "just to make sure". Not really all that impractical.


More unpaid communications/PR consulting advice: advising parents to be prepared for that is a good move; I wouldn't announce pulling the plug just yet though.
 
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Nov 22, 2019
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Minnesota, USA
Most schools get out at the end of May/first week of June (we are probably the latter due to the winter weather this year). That is just six-seven weeks away. It will probably take a few more weeks before we reach the peak of exposure levels, another few weeks for the symptoms to manifest, another few weeks for the virus to run its course in those people, and then a few more weeks "just to make sure". Not really all that impractical.


More unpaid communications/PR consulting advice: advising parents to be prepared for that is a good move; I wouldn't announce pulling the plug just yet though.

Most schools around here (MN) are telling people to prepare for it and taking this first round of cancellations to get ready but nobody is closing for good yet. The saving grace for schools here is spring break is next week for the majority of them so they started it early and have this whole week and a half without providing instruction already planned to get things figured out.
 
Feb 25, 2018
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Here in MA schools are closed until April 7th.
I suspect around the 4th or 5th it will be announced that school is finished for the academic year. I think summer tourneys won't be held, nor will there be a MLB season or large gatherings like concerts.

The question then becomes what happens in September?
 
May 29, 2015
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September in Illinois? Sports would still be in limbo because it could be 85 degrees out or we could have snow ... or both!
 
Mar 10, 2020
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The exponential spread is due to the fact that the gestation period is lengthy, the contagious phase occurs before symptoms, and the testing period is even longer. It isn't that the cases aren't already out there ... it's just that we don't have any realistic grip on how widespread it is.

Use my county as an example (these are real numbers as of this morning):

We have just under 200,000 residents in the county. (It is a hub for several other counties, and the mid point on several major interstate highways, so the number of people in and out each day is far greater.)

We have FOUR positive tests. Of those, THREE actually are from collar counties.

We have had SIX negative tests.

We have THIRTEEN more tests waiting for results.

That is an impossibly small sample size since we have only tested ONE TEN-THOUSANDTH of ONE PERCENT (0.0001%) of our population. Using those numbers though (and I am NOT saying this is accurate!) ... 20% or 40,000 people in this county would have the virus. 30% or 60,000 people in this county are currently fine. The remaining 50% or 100,000 people have potentially been exposed and are questionable.

As for the comments on the Chinese government ... it is a fine line between information and politics. On the information side, it shows that lack of information and willful ignorance on ANYBODY'S part -- foreign government, our government, our citizens, ANYBODY -- is what helps this thing spread even faster.
As you point out contagious and dont know. Mild symptoms when contagious. Dont know how many infected. Can also equate to more people have than we know.
The fatality rate may actually be lower than first thought.

The numbers you posted from home town suggest the same thing i keep calling moronic.
While people are working spreading about the same way your town has.

The numbers you post are but a small sample of things everyone can see if they open there eyes.

Due to multiple threads on this repeat again. We are only taking the brunt of social distancing to help our Healthcare System not get overwhelmed. Wonder what the cost is to each individual.
While public transportation, flights, daycare and bars are still open. We will have to learn to live side-by-side with viruses if we are going to continue being Society.
 
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May 29, 2015
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As you point out contagious and dont know. Mild symptoms when contagious. Dont know how many infected. Can also equate to more people have than we know.
The fatality rate may actually be lower than first thought.

I am not a scientist, I did not play one on TV, and I did not sleep at a Holiday Inn Express last night ... but I agree with you that the mortality rate is probably going to be lower than normal. It isn't necessarily about how it hits "younger healthy" people, it is about it getting to the elderly and immunity-compromised people.

Over the weekend a nursing home in DuPage County announced they had a resident with a positive test. They tested about 200 more people in the facility then ... and so far they found out they really had 22 more cases they didn't know about (18 patients and 4 staff). Not all of the tests are back yet, so that will likely be higher. https://wgntv.com/news/coronavirus/22-cases-of-covid-19-confirmed-at-dupage-county-nursing-home/

That's the type of spread we are trying to prevent.
 
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